Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000115 0.000135 0.000156 0.000180 0.000206 0.000234 0.000265
2024-12-15 0.000085 0.000110 0.000139 0.000174 0.000214 0.000258 0.000310
2024-12-22 0.000071 0.000100 0.000133 0.000175 0.000224 0.000280 0.000348
2024-12-29 0.000060 0.000090 0.000128 0.000176 0.000234 0.000302 0.000386
2025-01-05 0.000051 0.000082 0.000122 0.000175 0.000241 0.000319 0.000416
2025-01-12 0.000041 0.000072 0.000113 0.000169 0.000241 0.000327 0.000437
2025-01-19 0.000036 0.000068 0.000111 0.000171 0.000250 0.000347 0.000471
2025-01-26 0.000029 0.000059 0.000102 0.000164 0.000247 0.000350 0.000485
2025-02-02 0.000026 0.000056 0.000100 0.000166 0.000255 0.000368 0.000516
2025-02-09 0.000022 0.000051 0.000096 0.000165 0.000259 0.000380 0.000540
2025-02-16 0.000020 0.000050 0.000097 0.000170 0.000272 0.000403 0.000578
2025-02-23 0.000018 0.000047 0.000095 0.000171 0.000279 0.000419 0.000609
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000042 0.000090 0.000167 0.000280 0.000429 0.000632
2025-03-09 0.000011 0.000037 0.000085 0.000165 0.000283 0.000440 0.000658
2025-03-16 0.000009 0.000034 0.000082 0.000164 0.000287 0.000454 0.000687
2025-03-23 0.000008 0.000032 0.000080 0.000166 0.000296 0.000474 0.000724
2025-03-30 0.000006 0.000029 0.000077 0.000164 0.000299 0.000486 0.000750
2025-04-06 0.000004 0.000025 0.000072 0.000159 0.000297 0.000491 0.000767
2025-04-13 0.000004 0.000023 0.000071 0.000161 0.000305 0.000510 0.000803
2025-04-20 0.000002 0.000020 0.000065 0.000154 0.000300 0.000510 0.000814
2025-04-27 0.000002 0.000019 0.000064 0.000156 0.000308 0.000528 0.000848
2025-05-04 0.000001 0.000017 0.000061 0.000154 0.000311 0.000540 0.000875
2025-05-11 0.000001 0.000016 0.000062 0.000159 0.000324 0.000565 0.000920